With little help from credit cards, retailers expect weak holiday sales

October 16th, 2009 @ credit card

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Holiday sales will be down 1 percent this year, according to the leading retail trade association, with lackluster spending by consumers unlikely to get a boost from Christmas presents put on .

According to the National Retail Federation, frugal-minded consumers are likely to shift away from and instead put holiday buys on debit and cash.

“Many consumers don’t like to rely on ,” says National Retail Federation spokeswoman Ellen Davis, in a conference call accompanying the release of its holiday sales forecast. Davis blamed consumers’ reluctance to use plastic on the ongoing credit crunch and the fact that consumers don’t appreciate being surprised by statements received in December and January.

The move away from continues the trends of recent years, as shown in this chart created with NRF data:

nrf-holiday-spending2.pngThe NRF’s projection is in line with other downbeat holiday forecasts. Despite the sour outlook, the NRF says that the move away from this holiday season should help retailers in the long run. With lower debt levels going forward, consumers will be in a better position to spend “money they have readily available to them,” Davis says.

See related: Consumers expecting holiday season to be a bit jollier, Fed report: Credit tightens again, but not as rapidly

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